Thursday, April 17, 2008

Are Machines to Blame for the Sub-Prime Crisis?



My alma mater recently asked me a question that I have been asked by many other folks - did technology cause the subprime meltdown? After some discussion they decided to interview me on the topic and publish an article.

For those of you who are considering going back to school for a graduate degree that combines technology and business disciplines, I highly recommend the Penn EMTM program. EMTM stands for Executive Masters in Technology Management and the program is run by the University of Pennsylvania School of Engineering and Applied Science (SEAS) and is co-sponsored by Wharton. You get the best of both worlds - technology courses taught by engineering professors from SEAS and business courses taught by Wharton professors. In addition you work in a team environment with a lot of extremely bright and motivated individuals. I can't say enough about how great this program is.

As for the article, many people have questioned whether technology was the root cause of the subprime bubble bursting and the resulting credit crunch. My opinion is that technology did not cause the problem but it may have accelerated it. Technology is very good at adding speed to business processes. If those business processes are flawed in any way then technology will accentuate those flaws.

As an example underwriting standards were loosened over the years and the technology which enables automated underwriting made it easier and quicker to approve someone who maybe shouldn't have qualified for a loan product. Does this make technology the culprit? In my opinion no. The business decisions that allow underwriting guidelines to be compromised were translated into business rules that are used by the technology to render decisions.

People who point to technology as the culprit are looking to redirect the blame. The real mistakes were made by people who got carried away yet again in a fit of irrational exuberance.

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Trenton Computer Festival





For those of you who live in the Trenton, NJ area an annual landmark event is just around the corner. Yes, the Trenton Computer Festival is set to occur Friday, April 25th through Sunday, April 27th.


The Trenton Computer Festival (TCF) was created, in 1976, by Sol Libes, of the Amateur Computer Group of New Jersey and Allen Katz, of The College of New Jersey (then Trenton State College) as an annual educational event with speakers, forums, and user group meetings, an exhibitor area and an outdoor flea market. It still remains one of the longest-running computer hobbyist events anywhere.


Past speakers have included John Mauchly who invented the ENIAC, Adam Osborne who invented the first portable computer, Bill Gates (not sure what he does), Bjarne Stroustrup the inventor of C++, Phil Zimmerman creator of PGP encryption, Brian Kernigan (co-author with Dennis Ritchie of the famous "white book" on C).


This year David Perry of Trend Micro will speak about Identity Theft. They must be desperate for speakers, since I will be speaking about Data Governance on Friday. I guess Bill Gates had a conflict so they settled for me.



Ehring On blog





I added a link to Dain Ehring's blog in my "Interesting Websites" area to the right. Dain is the CEO and co-founder of Dorado, an Enterprise Lending Automation company.


I've met Dain a couple times in passing and recently met his CTO Rob Carpenter at the MBA Technology conference. Rob is a very smart individual who has a great grasp of both the mortgage industry and technology. Based on my discussions with Rob I decided to check out Dorado's website. That's where I stumbled upon Dain's blog.


Some of his early posts read like glorified PR for the firm, but his recent post comparing the Dutch Tulip panic of the 1630's to our current subprime meltdown was spot on. Check it out.